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Team Analysis · 2026 World Cup

The Biggest Shocks of the 2026 World Cup

The first 48-team World Cup delivered giant-killings almost from the first knockout kick. Norway and Haaland toppled Brazil, Paraguay knocked out Germany, Morocco beat the Netherlands, and hosts Mexico went out at the Azteca. Here are the results nobody saw coming, the favourites who stumbled, and the minnows who delivered.

Published 20 July 2026 · WorldCuply.com editorial · Sources: FIFA, ESPN, Sky Sports, Yahoo Sports, WorldCuply results

2-1
Norway knock out Brazil
2
Co-hosts out in the last 16
4
Shootouts that toppled a giant
R32
Where Germany fell
Every result confirmed. The shocks below are drawn from the completed 2026 knockout rounds. Every scoreline, extra-time result and penalty shootout is on our results page, with the full bracket in the knockout guide.

Norway topple Brazil

Of all the upsets in a chaotic month, one stands above the rest: Norway beating Brazil 2-1 in the Round of 16 at MetLife Stadium on 5 July.

At their first World Cup since 1998, and the first for Erling Haaland and captain Martin Odegaard, Norway walked into MetLife as underdogs against five-time world champions and pre-tournament favourites Brazil, and walked out having knocked them out. It was the result that redrew the bracket, removing one of the sides most fancied to win the whole thing and turning Norway from a fun story into a genuine threat. Their run finally ended 2-1 after extra time against England in the quarter-final at Hard Rock Stadium on 11 July, but by then Haaland's Norway had already produced the defining shock of the tournament.

Germany and the Netherlands out in the Round of 32

The brand-new Round of 32 wasted no time claiming heavyweights. Two of Europe's biggest names were gone before the last 16 even began.

1
Germany
Out in R32Lost 4-3 on pens
Beaten by Paraguay. Paraguay held Germany to a 1-1 draw at Gillette Stadium on 29 June and won the shootout 4-3. Disciplined, hard to break down and ice-cold from the spot, Paraguay sent one of the tournament favourites home at the first knockout hurdle, the most damaging early exit of any traditional power.
2
Netherlands
Out in R32Lost 3-2 on pens
Beaten by Morocco. Morocco, the 2022 semi-finalists, drew 1-1 with the Netherlands at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey and won the shootout 3-2. It continued Morocco's habit of knocking out European heavyweights in the knockouts and ended a talented Dutch side's tournament far earlier than expected.
3
Australia and Colombia
Shootout casualtiesR32 and R16
The other shootout shocks. Egypt beat Australia 4-2 on penalties in the Round of 32 to reach the last 16, and in that round Switzerland edged fancied Colombia 4-3 on spot-kicks in Vancouver after a goalless draw, one of the summer's coolest giant-killings from the penalty spot.

Mexico and the USA go out in the last 16

Two of the three co-hosts were eliminated in the Round of 16, a bitter blow for a tournament staged on home soil.

The most painful was Mexico, beaten 3-2 by England at the Estadio Azteca on 5 July, knocked out of their own World Cup in the stadium that hosted the opening match. A day later, the United States were thrashed 4-1 by Belgium in Seattle. Only Canada of the hosts reached the last 16 with a chance to go further, before losing 3-0 to Morocco. For all the talk of home advantage across the three nations, the co-hosts could not translate it into a deep run, and the early exits of Mexico and the USA were among the stories of the tournament.

Cape Verde, Egypt and the outsiders

The expanded 48-team field gave the smaller nations more chances than ever, and several took them.

Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde (aet)
Round of 32 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami · debutants take the champions to extra time
Fri 3 Jul
Australia 1-1 Egypt (Egypt win 4-2 pens)
Round of 32 · AT&T Stadium, Dallas · Egypt reach the last 16
Fri 3 Jul
Argentina 3-2 Egypt
Round of 16 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta · Egypt push the finalists close
Tue 7 Jul

Cape Verde, one of the smallest nations ever to reach a World Cup, took defending champions Argentina to extra time in the Round of 32 before losing 3-2, a heroic near-miss on their debut. Egypt went further, beating Australia on penalties and then pushing Argentina to a 3-2 finish in the Round of 16. Neither pulled off the win, but both showed why the wider field made 2026 the most unpredictable World Cup in memory. See more in our dark horses guide.

England 6-4 France: the ten-goal bronze-medal match

Not every shock is a giant-killing. Sometimes it is a scoreline nobody expected from two teams who had defended their way to the semi-finals.

England beat France 6-4 in the third-place play-off at Hard Rock Stadium on 18 July, a ten-goal thriller and one of the highest-scoring matches of the entire tournament. Two sides that reached the last four on the back of organised, cautious football threw it all aside in the bronze-medal match. It carried a sting in the tail, too: France's goals helped Kylian Mbappe pull clear of Lionel Messi to win the Golden Boot. For all the drama, the favourites still contested the final, where Spain beat holders Argentina 1-0 after extra time to be crowned champions.

Frequently asked questions

What was the biggest shock of the 2026 World Cup?
The biggest shock of the 2026 World Cup was Norway beating Brazil 2-1 in the Round of 16 at MetLife Stadium on 5 July. At their first World Cup since 1998, and the first for Erling Haaland and captain Martin Odegaard, Norway knocked out one of the pre-tournament favourites and five-time world champions. It ranks above the group of penalty-shootout upsets in the Round of 32 because it was a favourite eliminated in a straight knockout by an outsider making its return to the biggest stage.
How did Paraguay knock Germany out of the 2026 World Cup?
Paraguay held Germany to a 1-1 draw in their Round of 32 tie at Gillette Stadium on 29 June and then won the penalty shootout 4-3. It was one of the shocks of the round: disciplined defending, a goal to level, and nerve from the spot sent one of the tournament favourites home early. Germany's exit at the first knockout hurdle was among the most damaging of the 2026 World Cup for a traditional power.
Did Morocco really beat the Netherlands in 2026?
Yes. Morocco beat the Netherlands in the Round of 32 at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey, drawing 1-1 and winning the shootout 3-2. Morocco went in as 2022 semi-finalists rather than pure outsiders, but eliminating a side of the Netherlands' pedigree still counted as a major upset and continued Morocco's habit of beating European heavyweights in the knockouts, following their run four years earlier.
Which host nations went out early at the 2026 World Cup?
Two of the three co-hosts fell in the Round of 16. Mexico were beaten 3-2 by England at the Estadio Azteca on 5 July, ending the host's tournament on home soil, while the United States were thrashed 4-1 by Belgium in Seattle a day later. Canada, the third co-host, went furthest, reaching the Round of 16 before losing 3-0 to Morocco. For the hosts, an early exit at their own World Cup was one of the stories of the summer.
What were the biggest penalty-shootout upsets in 2026?
The 2026 knockouts were full of shootout drama. Paraguay knocked out Germany 4-3 on penalties and Morocco beat the Netherlands 3-2, both in the Round of 32. Egypt eliminated Australia 4-2 on spot-kicks in the same round. In the Round of 16, Switzerland edged Colombia 4-3 on penalties after a goalless draw in Vancouver to reach the quarter-finals. Shootouts decided several of the tournament's most surprising results.
How far did Norway go after beating Brazil?
Norway's run ended in the quarter-finals. After beating Ivory Coast in the Round of 32 and stunning Brazil 2-1 in the Round of 16, Haaland's side lost 2-1 after extra time to England at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on 11 July. It was still Norway's best World Cup showing in the modern era, reaching the last eight at their first tournament since 1998, and the Brazil result was the standout upset of the whole competition.
Did any debutants cause a shock in 2026?
The closest a debutant came was Cape Verde, one of the smallest nations ever to reach a World Cup, who took defending champions Argentina to extra time in the Round of 32 in Miami before losing 3-2. Egypt, chasing a first World Cup knockout win in the modern era, went one better by beating Australia on penalties and then pushing Argentina to a 3-2 finish in the Round of 16. The expanded 48-team field gave the outsiders more chances than ever to make their mark.
Was the 6-4 third-place play-off a shock?
The scoreline certainly was. England beat France 6-4 in the third-place play-off at Hard Rock Stadium on 18 July, a ten-goal thriller that was one of the highest-scoring matches of the entire tournament. Two sides that had defended their way to the semi-finals threw caution aside in the bronze-medal match, and it also had a decisive twist: France's goals helped Kylian Mbappe pull clear of Lionel Messi to win the Golden Boot.
Why were there so many shocks at the 2026 World Cup?
The first 48-team World Cup created more knockout matches and more chances for an upset than ever before. The new Round of 32 added an extra single-game round where any favourite could be caught, and knockout football rewards a disciplined defence, low expectations and the coin-flip of a penalty shootout. Add debutants and returning nations hungry to make history, and the 104-match format widened the door for the giant-killings that defined 2026.
Did the shocks stop the favourites winning in 2026?
In the end, no. For all the upsets, Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating defending champions Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final. Both finalists were pre-tournament heavyweights. But the road there was littered with shocks, from Norway toppling Brazil to Germany and the Netherlands falling in the Round of 32, proving that even in a year the favourites reached the final, the expanded format made the journey more unpredictable than ever.

More 2026 World Cup coverage

Go deeper on the knockouts, the outsiders and the numbers:

Where this page comes from

This account of the 2026 shocks was compiled from the completed knockout results and the bracket, cross-checked against the following pages:

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